Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.700055 2.119077 2.667482 3.461142 4.623068 6.338909 9.234186
2025-02-02 1.205576 1.674296 2.397522 3.686384 6.173928 11.506732 27.261451
2025-02-09 0.925523 1.369119 2.125884 3.675658 7.359818 18.404847 83.484940
2025-02-16 0.743571 1.145398 1.877861 3.531466 8.145147 26.846837 304.789666
2025-02-23 0.644722 1.030350 1.777944 3.634270 9.771089 46.058779 6427.977818
2025-03-02 0.579007 0.956236 1.729807 3.833715 12.133330 91.904942 NaN
2025-03-09 0.516433 0.873155 1.635184 3.855671 13.981214 175.606229 NaN
2025-03-16 0.455612 0.781652 1.496285 3.673816 14.645004 286.060491 NaN
2025-03-23 0.424998 0.745787 1.477815 3.875048 18.220055 1044.969196 NaN
2025-03-30 0.392314 0.699773 1.422408 3.921532 21.133618 5713.208598 NaN
2025-04-06 0.358689 0.646623 1.336606 3.811766 22.653709 71481.202315 NaN
2025-04-13 0.330986 0.602730 1.266089 3.732127 24.530582 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.320554 0.596668 1.298718 4.128006 34.857387 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.306870 0.581246 1.302190 4.410901 47.281824 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.287465 0.549722 1.251484 4.396146 54.740706 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.266654 0.512432 1.176297 4.211596 56.984780 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.254575 0.494879 1.158502 4.342934 72.821269 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.245751 0.484187 1.160076 4.598829 103.392956 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.233823 0.464348 1.128033 4.627082 127.113247 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.218988 0.435726 1.062089 4.393558 127.207423 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.212700 0.428277 1.066113 4.652029 193.720599 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.204109 0.413976 1.043991 4.711929 255.437547 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.193706 0.394020 0.998863 4.570600 278.402224 NaN NaN